马露
  • 学科: 流行病与卫生统计学
  • 所在单位:公共卫生学院
教师拼音名称:Ma Lu
电子邮箱:
所在单位:公共卫生学院
学历:研究生毕业
办公地点:武汉大学医学部
性别:
在职信息:在职
硕士生导师
当前位置: 中文主页 >> 科学研究 >> 论文成果
标题:
Global climate change: impact of heat waves under different definitions on daily mortality in Wuhan, China
点击次数:
影响因子:
8.69
DOI码:
10.1186/s41256-017-0030-2
发表刊物:
Global Health Research and Policy
刊物所在地:
England
关键字:
China; Climate change; Definition; Heat wave; Mortality; Temperature
摘要:
Background: There was no consistent definition for heat wave worldwide, while a limited number of studies have compared the mortality effect of heat wave as defined differently. This paper aimed to provide epidemiological evidence for policy makers to determine the most appropriate definition for local heat wave warning systems.
Methods: We developed 45 heat wave definitions (HWs) combining temperature indicators and temperature thresholds with durations. We then assessed the impact of heat waves under various definitions on non-accidental mortality in hot season (May-September) in Wuhan, China during 2003-2010.
Results: Heat waves defined by HW14 (daily mean temperature ≥ 99.0th percentile and duration ≥ 3 days) had the best predictive ability in assessing the mortality effects of heat wave with the relative risk of 1.63 (95% CI: 1.43, 1.89) for total mortality. The group-specific mortality risk using official heat wave definition of Chinese Meteorological Administration was much smaller than that using HW14. We also found that women, and the elderly (age ≥ 65) were more susceptible to heat wave effects which were stronger and longer lasting.
Conclusion: These findings suggest that region specific heat wave definitions are crucial and necessary for developing efficient local heat warning systems and for providing evidence for policy makers to protect the vulnerable population.
合写作者:
Feng, Renjie,Wu, Ran
论文类型:
期刊论文
通讯作者:
Ma, Lu
学科门类:
医学
一级学科:
公共卫生与预防医学
文献类型:
J
卷号:
02
页面范围:
10
字数:
4896
ISSN号:
2397-0642
是否译文:
发表时间:
2017-02-01
收录刊物:
SCI
发表时间:
2017-02-01
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